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Vodice vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vodice in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vodice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Vodice
15%
Draws
59%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • RNK Split have won more games recently than Vodice.
  • RNK Split are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vodice Clean Sheet 13%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice RNK Split
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs RNK Split
4:2
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Vodice
4:0
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL South
Vodice vs RNK Split
2:2
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Vodice
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 27 / 100
RNK Split 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Vodice's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RNK Split's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Vodice remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS RNK Split
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)