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Vodice vs Sloga Mravince

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
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AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Vodice and Sloga Mravince finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vodice
20%
Draws
58%
Sloga Mravince
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sloga Mravince

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vodice haven't matched Sloga Mravince's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sloga Mravince's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vodice Clean Sheet 14%
Sloga Mravince Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vodice Sloga Mravince
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Sloga Mravince
1:1
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Vodice
1:1
May 19, 2021 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Sloga Mravince
2:1
Nov 11, 2020 3. HNL South
Sloga Mravince vs Vodice
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vodice 10 / 100
Sloga Mravince 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vodice Sloga Mravince

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloga Mravince Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vodice's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sloga Mravince let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Vodice went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vodice VS Sloga Mravince
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vodice

(Home)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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Sloga Mravince

(Away)
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
01 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Sloga Mravince
28 Jul
Omladinac Vranjic
0 : 5
Sloga Mravince
28 May
Zagora
3 : 3
Sloga Mravince
22 May
Sloga Mravince
1 : 2
Hrvace
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)