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Volna Pinsk vs Dnyapro

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Volna Pinsk play Dnyapro in the Belarusian Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Volna Pinsk averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Dnyapro averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Volna Pinsk won 0, Dnyapro won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2019 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Volna Pinsk and 1.25 for Dnyapro. This points to a Dnyapro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Volna Pinsk
18%
Draws
42%
Dnyapro
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Dnyapro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Volna Pinsk picked up more points recently compared to Dnyapro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 19%
Dnyapro Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volna Pinsk Dnyapro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2019 Belarusian Cup
Volna Pinsk vs Dnyapro
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volna Pinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dnyapro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pobudey V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignatenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volna Pinsk 40 / 100
Dnyapro 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volna Pinsk Dnyapro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dnyapro or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Volna Pinsk attacking → ← attacking Dnyapro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volna Pinsk scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dnyapro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Volna Pinsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dnyapro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 32
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00