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Stadium Background

Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Volna Stadium, Pinsk
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Malashenko G.
57' Event
Kibuk V.
75'
Sub
Malashenko G. In: Kukhley R.
Out: Malashenko G.

AI Match Summary

Volna Pinsk in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Volna Pinsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Volna Pinsk
15%
Draws
48%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Volna Pinsk have won more games recently than Smorgon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 11%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volna Pinsk Smorgon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk
1:3
Nov 12, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon
1:3
Aug 22, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kibuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Smorgon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volna Pinsk 30 / 100
Smorgon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volna Pinsk Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Volna Pinsk scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Volna Pinsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Smorgon let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Volna Pinsk VS Smorgon
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Volna Pinsk

(Home)
01 Nov
Volna Pinsk
1 : 0
Smorgon
24 Oct
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3
Volna Pinsk
18 Oct
Volna Pinsk
1 : 4
FC Minsk 2
10 Oct
Osipovichi
1 : 1
Volna Pinsk
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
Page 1 of 6

Smorgon

(Away)
01 Nov
Volna Pinsk
1 : 0
Smorgon
24 Oct
Soligorsk
4 : 0
Smorgon
17 Oct
Smorgon
1 : 0
BumProm Gomel
11 Oct
FC Minsk 2
0 : 2
Smorgon
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 29 11 5 13 43:43 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
15 Uni X Labs 30 7 9 14 30:40 30
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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