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Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Volov Shumen host Chernolomets in the Third League - North-East. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Volov Shumen have averaged 3.13 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Chernolomets's 2.52 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Volov Shumen have won 1 to Chernolomets's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.88) point toward Volov Shumen. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Volov Shumen
15%
Draws
58%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Volov Shumen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chernolomets a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Chernolomets have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volov Shumen Chernolomets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 3.13 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets
5:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Volov Shumen
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Volov Shumen
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernolomets
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volov Shumen 10 / 100
Chernolomets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volov Shumen Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Volov Shumen scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Chernolomets has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Volov Shumen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Volov Shumen VS Chernolomets
3 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Volov Shumen

(Home)
18 Oct
Volov Shumen
2 : 1
Cherno More II
10 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
Page 1 of 6

Chernolomets

(Away)
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0
Chernolomets
10 Oct
Chernolomets
5 : 1
Benkovski
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
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