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Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Volov Shumen and Chernomorets Balchik finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Volov Shumen
20%
Draws
34%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Volov Shumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik have managed 2.55 goals a game lately — Volov Shumen are scoring more at 3.38.
  • Model gives Volov Shumen a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volov Shumen Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 23
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 0
Goals Scored 3.38 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volov Shumen 85 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volov Shumen Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volov Shumen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Volov Shumen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Defensive concern: Chernomorets Balchik conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Volov Shumen VS Chernomorets Balchik
4.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Volov Shumen

(Home)
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
Volov Shumen
2 : 0
Devnya 2005
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)