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Vols vs FC Natters

Austria Austria

Tirol 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vols play FC Natters in the Tirol 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vols averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. FC Natters averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. In past meetings, Vols won 2, FC Natters won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 13, 2023 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Vols and 1.13 for FC Natters. This points to a Vols double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vols
23%
Draws
34%
FC Natters
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Vols

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Vols picked up more points recently compared to FC Natters.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vols Clean Sheet 21%
FC Natters Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vols FC Natters
Matches Played 40 34
Wins 17 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Tirol
FC Natters vs Vols
4:1
Sep 17, 2022 Tirol
Vols vs FC Natters
2:2
Mar 19, 2022 Tirol
Vols vs FC Natters
1:0
Jul 23, 2021 Tirol
FC Natters vs Vols
2:1
Sep 26, 2020 Tirol
Vols vs FC Natters
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vols 43 / 100
FC Natters 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vols FC Natters

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vols or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vols attacking → ← attacking FC Natters

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vols scored in 85% of their last 40 games.

FC Natters let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Vols went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Natters lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 45
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00