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Volta Redonda U20 vs Boavista U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda U20 play Boavista U20 in the Carioca U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Volta Redonda U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Boavista U20 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Volta Redonda U20 won 1, Boavista U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Volta Redonda U20 and 1.10 for Boavista U20. This points to a Volta Redonda U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Volta Redonda U20
15%
Draws
39%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volta Redonda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Volta Redonda U20 picked up more points recently compared to Boavista U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 1.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Volta Redonda U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Boavista U20 vs Volta Redonda U20
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Boavista U20
3:2
Jul 27, 2024 Carioca U20
Volta Redonda U20 vs Boavista U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Bom
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda U20 46 / 100
Boavista U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda U20 Boavista U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Volta Redonda U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Volta Redonda U20 attacking → ← attacking Boavista U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volta Redonda U20 scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Boavista U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Volta Redonda U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Boavista U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 28
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.29

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco U201182124:1026
2Flamengo RJ U201181227:925
3Botafogo RJ U201161419:1219
4Fluminense U201153314:1118
5Volta Redonda U201152414:2417
6Bangu U201143410:1415
7Marica U201142511:1314
8Portuguesa RJ U201141612:1013
9Sampaio Correa FE U201134414:1913
10Madureira U201133514:1912
11Nova Iguacu U20112279:178
12Boavista U201112810:205