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Volta Redonda vs Amazonas

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Raulino de Oliveira
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Volta Redonda play Amazonas in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Volta Redonda averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Amazonas averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Volta Redonda won 1, Amazonas won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Volta Redonda and 1.06 for Amazonas. This points to a Amazonas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Volta Redonda
24%
Draws
41%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Volta Redonda picked up more points recently compared to Amazonas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 22%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Volta Redonda Amazonas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Amazonas
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie B
Amazonas vs Volta Redonda
1:0
May 19, 2025 Serie B
Volta Redonda vs Amazonas
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Amazonas
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Serie C
Amazonas vs Volta Redonda
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Volta Redonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Amazonas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Volta Redonda 36 / 100
Amazonas 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Volta Redonda Amazonas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amazonas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Volta Redonda attacking → ← attacking Amazonas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Volta Redonda scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Amazonas let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Volta Redonda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Amazonas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179