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Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Pontivy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Chambon H.
37' Event
Chambon H.
87' Event
Le Gal Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
35%
Draws
26%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pontivy lately — more wins on the board than Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Clean Sheet 20%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Pontivy
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Pontivy
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambon H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pontivy Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Gal Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guimard H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 31 / 100
Pontivy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pontivy let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pontivy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant VS Pontivy
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
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Pontivy

(Away)
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)