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Vorskla Poltava vs Ch. Odesa Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Andrushchenko M.
11' Event
Prikhna D.
21'
Potskhveria I.

AI Match Summary

Vorskla Poltava in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vorskla Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vorskla Poltava
35%
Draws
41%
Ch. Odesa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ch. Odesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ch. Odesa lately — more wins on the board than Vorskla Poltava.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 25%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vorskla Poltava Ch. Odesa
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.69 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Ch. Odesa
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Persha Liga
Ch. Odesa vs Vorskla Poltava
0:0
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Vorskla Poltava vs Ch. Odesa
1:2
Nov 8, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Vorskla Poltava
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Vorskla Poltava
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrushchenko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prikhna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ch. Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vorskla Poltava 33 / 100
Ch. Odesa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vorskla Poltava Ch. Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ch. Odesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Vorskla Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vorskla Poltava found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Vorskla Poltava VS Ch. Odesa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vorskla Poltava

(Home)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0
Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1
Livyi Bereg
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Ch. Odesa

(Away)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)