Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vorskla Poltava vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Chidomere A.
45'
Nekhtiy V.
46'
Sub
Bandurin A. In: Tuzenko D.
Out: Bandurin A.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between Vorskla Poltava and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vorskla Poltava
11%
Draws
9%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vorskla Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Vorskla Poltava and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Vorskla Poltava are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vorskla Poltava MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Vorskla Poltava
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirichenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vorskla Poltava 86 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vorskla Poltava MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Vorskla Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vorskla Poltava VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00