Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2007

Energetik Pavlodar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vostok Oskemen 2 play Energetik Pavlodar in the First Division 2007. Energetik Pavlodar are favorites here. Recently, Vostok Oskemen 2 averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Energetik Pavlodar averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. In past meetings, Vostok Oskemen 2 won 0, Energetik Pavlodar won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2007 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Vostok Oskemen 2 and 2.19 for Energetik Pavlodar. This points to a Energetik Pavlodar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Vostok Oskemen 2

15%

Draws

71%

Energetik Pavlodar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Energetik Pavlodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Vostok Oskemen 2 picked up more points recently compared to Energetik Pavlodar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Vostok Oskemen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Energetik Pavlodar Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vostok Oskemen 2	Energetik Pavlodar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	24
Draws	6	3
Losses	19	3
Goals Scored	0.9	2.17
Goals Conceded	2.37	0.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2007 First League

Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Energetik Pavlodar

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

May 1, 2007 First League

Energetik Pavlodar vs Vostok Oskemen 2

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Aug 19, 2005 First League

Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Energetik Pavlodar

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Jul 26, 2005 First League

Energetik Pavlodar vs Vostok Oskemen 2

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vostok Oskemen 2 15 / 100

Energetik Pavlodar 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vostok Oskemen 2 Energetik Pavlodar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Energetik Pavlodar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Energetik Pavlodar & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vostok Oskemen 2 attacking → ← attacking Energetik Pavlodar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vostok Oskemen 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Energetik Pavlodar let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Vostok Oskemen 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Energetik Pavlodar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 75

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Megasport Almaty	22	21	1	0	89:10	64
2	Akzhayik Uralsk	22	18	2	2	57:14	56
3	Kaspij Aktau	22	13	4	5	46:23	43
4	Aktobe 2	22	11	4	7	38:32	37
5	Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2	22	8	5	9	32:46	29
6	Gornyak Khromtay	22	7	6	9	31:39	27
7	Ordabasy 2	22	7	2	13	38:58	23
8	Cesna Almaty	22	6	5	11	33:30	23
9	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	22	6	5	11	25:38	23
10	Zhambyl Taraz	22	4	6	12	22:38	18
11	Zhastar Uralsk	22	5	1	16	21:70	16
12	Munaily Atyrau	22	4	3	15	27:61	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Energetik Pavlodar	26	24	0	2	62:10	72
2	Kazakhmys	26	22	3	1	67:14	69
3	Aksu	26	18	4	4	65:25	58
4	Avangard Petropavlovsk	26	13	5	8	35:34	44
5	Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan	26	12	3	11	47:39	39
6	Ertis Pavlodar 2	26	12	2	12	50:42	38
7	Asbest Zitikara	26	10	5	11	34:42	35
8	Shakhter Karagandy 2	26	9	5	12	30:33	32
9	Spartak Semey	26	7	8	11	29:49	29
10	Shakhter Yunost	26	6	6	14	25:38	24
11	Tobol 2	26	5	8	13	32:49	23
12	Vostok Oskemen 2	26	5	5	16	25:61	20
13	Rakhat Astana	26	4	6	16	25:56	18
14	Batyr Ekibastuz	26	0	10	16	8:42	10