Sport Picks
Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
Kazakhstan
First Division 2005 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2005 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ertis Pavlodar 2 have won more games recently than Vostok Oskemen 2.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vostok Oskemen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vostok Oskemen 2 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Vostok Oskemen 2
2:0
Jun 29, 2007 First League
Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
0:2
Sep 18, 2006 First League
Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
1:1
Jun 1, 2006 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Vostok Oskemen 2
3:2
Oct 14, 2005 First League
Vostok Oskemen 2 vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vostok Oskemen 2 34 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vostok Oskemen 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ERT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vostok Oskemen 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Ertis Pavlodar 2 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Vostok Oskemen 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vostok Oskemen 2 VS Ertis Pavlodar 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Vostok Oskemen 2
(Home) 22 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
2 : 1 Rakhat Astana
19 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
1 : 3 Energetik Pavlodar
11 Oct
Aksu
4 : 1 Vostok Oskemen 2
08 Oct
Avangard Petropavlovsk
0 : 0 Vostok Oskemen 2
01 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
1 : 1 Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
2 : 1 Rakhat Astana
19 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
1 : 3 Energetik Pavlodar
01 Oct
Vostok Oskemen 2
1 : 1 Tobol 2
28 Sept
Vostok Oskemen 2
4 : 2 Asbest Zitikara
07 Sept
Vostok Oskemen 2
2 : 1 Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan
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Ertis Pavlodar 2
(Away) 26 Oct
Tobol 2
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
22 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
5 : 2 Aksu
19 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
1 : 2 Avangard Petropavlovsk
11 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
01 Oct
Ertis Pavlodar 2
4 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy 2
Page 1 of 7
26 Oct
Tobol 2
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar 2
11 Oct
Asbest Zitikara
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
19 Sept
Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar 2
16 Sept
Shakhter Yunost
2 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar 2
14 Aug
Rakhat Astana
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar 2
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 51:10 | 55 |
| 2 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 70:23 | 48 |
| 4 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30:26 | 42 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 36 |
| 6 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40:48 | 31 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 9 | AI-Universitet | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | 18 |
| 11 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:65 | 12 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14:42 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109:7 | 66 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 76:17 | 59 |
| 3 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 60:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Ayat Rudnyi | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 28:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 30:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Eurasia Astana | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 8 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Aksu | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 22:43 | 24 |
| 10 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25:52 | 22 |
| 11 | Spartak Semey 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:59 | 21 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar Academy | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Bolat | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12:44 | 19 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)