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VPS vs HJK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
HJK Logo

HJK

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VPS host HJK in the Veikkausliiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. VPS have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against HJK's 2.4 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor HJK slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 6:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.50) back HJK to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
VPS
20%
Draws
58%
HJK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than VPS.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on HJK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
VPS Clean Sheet 16%
HJK Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS HJK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
6:0
Jul 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
2:1
May 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 10 / 100
HJK 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS HJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

VPS scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

HJK has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

VPS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS HJK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
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HJK

(Away)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 26 13 10 3 32:18 49
2 KuPS 26 13 9 4 41:25 48
3 HJK 26 13 6 7 45:29 45
4 Gnistan 26 11 9 6 40:32 42
5 AC Oulu 26 11 4 11 27:29 37
6 VPS 26 10 6 10 30:31 36
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)