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VPS vs Lahti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

0 - 1
FT
Lahti Logo

Lahti

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Lindholm A.
Assist: Ferreira M.
46'
Sub
Raisanen A. In: Odhiambo X.
Out: Raisanen A.
67'
Sub
Lindholm S. In: Salomaa H.
Out: Lindholm S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and Lahti finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lahti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
VPS
15%
Draws
65%
Lahti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • VPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Lahti taking it.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
VPS Clean Sheet 20%
Lahti Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS Lahti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Lahti
0:1
May 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs VPS
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs VPS
0:0
May 3, 2024 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Lahti
3:0
Aug 18, 2023 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs VPS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 10 / 100
Lahti 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS Lahti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VPS scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lahti conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

VPS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS Lahti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

Lahti

(Away)
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)