Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion

VPS

4 - 0

Mariehamn

Our Tip

Match Events

Smyth L.

Assist: Kouassivi-Benissan K.

32'

Ogunniyi O.

Assist: Kouassivi-Benissan K.

63'

Sub

Stroud A. In: Huttunen A.

Out: Stroud A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and Mariehamn finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

VPS

Draws

Mariehamn

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

VPS carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on VPS taking it.
Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

VPS Clean Sheet 20%

Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	VPS	Mariehamn
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	14	5
Draws	7	8
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	2	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga

VPS vs Mariehamn

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

May 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn vs VPS

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sep 21, 2025 Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn vs VPS

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Aug 1, 2025 Veikkausliiga

VPS vs Mariehamn

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Jun 14, 2025 Veikkausliiga

Mariehamn vs VPS

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ogunniyi O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Mariehamn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 85 / 100

Mariehamn 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

VPS Mariehamn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VPS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariehamn let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Mariehamn registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

VPS found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

VPS VS Mariehamn

2 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 2.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	AC Oulu	15	8	2	5	20:18	26
5	HJK	15	6	4	5	25:19	22
6	Gnistan	15	6	4	5	23:20	22
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19:16	22
8	Lahti	15	5	4	6	18:15	19
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18:23	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8:33	4