Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VPS vs SJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Bagayogo S.
13' Event
Haukioja M.
Penalty Missed
17'
Souza K.

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and SJK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
VPS
30%
Draws
18%
SJK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VPS come out ahead of SJK on wins alone.
  • Model gives VPS a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • VPS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VPS Clean Sheet 20%
SJK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS SJK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs SJK
1:0
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs VPS
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Liiga Cup
SJK vs VPS
0:6
Aug 10, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs SJK
1:2
May 12, 2025 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs VPS
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 58 / 100
SJK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS SJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VPS scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

SJK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

VPS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS SJK
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
Page 1 of 6

SJK

(Away)
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
15 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
SJK
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)