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VPS W vs SJK-j Apollo W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women 2025 Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Haaranoja N.
24' Event
Bjorndahl M.
72' Event
Lehtonen R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with VPS W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
VPS W
15%
Draws
38%
SJK-j Apollo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SJK-j Apollo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans VPS W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • SJK-j Apollo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor VPS W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
VPS W Clean Sheet 20%
SJK-j Apollo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS W SJK-j Apollo W
Matches Played 4 7
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
VPS W vs SJK-j Apollo W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haaranoja N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjorndahl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

SJK-j Apollo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS W 85 / 100
SJK-j Apollo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS W SJK-j Apollo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VPS W scored in 100% of their last 4 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: SJK-j Apollo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

SJK-j Apollo W has conceded goals in 43% of their last 7 outings.

Scoring Trends

VPS W VS SJK-j Apollo W
2.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS W

(Home)
17 Jun
VPS W
4 : 6
PK-35 Vantaa W
28 May
VPS W
3 : 2
FC PaRi Palokka W
03 Jul
VPS W
1 : 2
HJS W
11 Jun
VPS W
3 : 0
SJK-j Apollo W

SJK-j Apollo W

(Away)
01 Jul
HPS W
5 : 1
SJK-j Apollo W
17 Jun
Athene FC W
0 : 3
SJK-j Apollo W
28 May
WFA W
0 : 1
SJK-j Apollo W
11 Jun
VPS W
3 : 0
SJK-j Apollo W
02 Jul
SJK-j Apollo W
0 : 4
JyPK W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Kasiysi Espoo W 0
Valtti W 11
NJS W 1
Athene FC W 2
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
Iittala Pallo W 1
HJK Akatemia W 3
KTP W 4
Honka W -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK W -
VPS W 3
SJK-j Apollo W 0
Gnistan W 0
HJS W 1
TPV W 0
Ilves W 4
HauPa W 2
VIFK Vaasa W 4
Hertta W 1
EBK W 6
TBD -
KuPS W -
JyPK W 1
Aland United W 5
PK-35 Helsinki W 1
HPS W 2
Keski-Uusimaa W 1
Lahti W 2
TBD -
PK-35 Vantaa W -
1/8-finals
Valtti W 4
Athene FC W 0
FC PaRi Palokka W 0
KTP W 3
Honka W 0
HJK W 5
VPS W 1
HJS W 2
Ilves W 2
VIFK Vaasa W 0
EBK W 0
KuPS W 2
Aland United W 3
HPS W 2
Lahti W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
Quarter-finals
Valtti W 0
KTP W 2
HJK W 1
HJS W 0
Ilves W 4
KuPS W 3
Aland United W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 3
Semi-finals
KTP W 0
HJK W 3
Ilves W 2
Aland United W 5
Final
HJK W 3
Aland United W 1