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Vrapce vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

1 - 3
FT
Trnje Logo

Trnje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trnje in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Vrapce
35%
Draws
27%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Vrapce haven't matched Trnje's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vrapce's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 20%
Trnje Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrapce Trnje
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 9 20
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Trnje
1:3
Oct 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Vrapce
0:0
May 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Trnje
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Vrapce
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrapce 49 / 100
Trnje 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrapce Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Vrapce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vrapce scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Trnje let in goals in 72% of their last 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trnje
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrapce

(Home)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
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Trnje

(Away)
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
25 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 2
Trnje
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)