Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrbovec vs Spansko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vrbovec
20%
Draws
29%
Spansko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vrbovec have won more games recently than Spansko.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 16%
Spansko Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrbovec Spansko
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Spansko
1:1
Sep 19, 2020 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Vrbovec
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrbovec 31 / 100
Spansko 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrbovec Spansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spansko's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Vrbovec's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vrbovec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vrbovec VS Spansko
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrbovec

(Home)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
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Spansko

(Away)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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