Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vreden vs Ahlen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026
Vreden Logo

Vreden

3 - 1
FT
Ahlen Logo

Ahlen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vreden in this Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vreden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vreden
15%
Draws
42%
Ahlen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vreden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vreden average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Ahlen's 1.27.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vreden Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vreden Ahlen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Ahlen
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Vreden
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Ahlen
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Ahlen vs Vreden
3:2
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Ahlen vs Vreden
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vreden 30 / 100
Ahlen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vreden Ahlen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vreden scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ahlen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vreden VS Ahlen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vreden

(Home)
31 May
Vreden
3 : 0
Erkenschwick
25 May
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 0
Vreden
17 May
Vreden
0 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
10 May
Westfalia Rhynern
4 : 0
Vreden
03 May
Vreden
1 : 0
Eintracht Rheine
Page 1 of 6

Ahlen

(Away)
31 May
Ahlen
3 : 4
Eintracht Rheine
25 May
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 0
Ahlen
17 May
Verl II
1 : 4
Ahlen
10 May
Hiltrup
1 : 0
Ahlen
06 May
Westfalia Rhynern
1 : 2
Ahlen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westfalia Rhynern 36 25 7 4 96:38 82
2 SG Wattenscheid 36 23 11 2 78:28 80
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 36 22 9 5 81:41 75
4 Lippstadt 36 20 10 6 63:29 70
5 Preussen Munster 2 36 21 5 10 80:49 68
6 Gievenbeck 36 14 8 14 61:56 50
7 Arminia Bielefeld II 36 13 10 13 57:57 49
8 Clarholz 36 12 10 14 54:63 46
9 Eintracht Rheine 36 11 11 14 53:63 44
10 Verl II 36 11 9 16 51:64 42
11 Schermbeck 2020 36 10 10 16 53:60 40
12 Sprockhovel 36 11 7 18 59:69 40
13 Erkenschwick 36 10 10 16 48:67 40
14 Vreden 36 11 6 19 52:68 39
15 TUS Ennepetal 36 11 5 20 44:75 38
16 Hiltrup 36 9 10 17 42:57 37
17 Ahlen 36 9 7 20 42:77 34
18 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 36 8 9 19 51:87 33
19 Turkspor Dortmund 36 12 4 20 60:77 31
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)