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Vreden vs Delbrucker

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vreden play Delbrucker in the Oberliga Westfalen 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vreden averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Delbrucker averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Vreden won 0, Delbrucker won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 23, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vreden and 1.13 for Delbrucker. This points to a Vreden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Vreden
22%
Draws
34%
Delbrucker
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vreden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Vreden picked up more points recently compared to Delbrucker.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Vreden Clean Sheet 21%
Delbrucker Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vreden Delbrucker
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Delbrucker
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Westfalen
Delbrucker vs Vreden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vreden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinkelmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostenkotter N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Delbrucker Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolf L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vreden 44 / 100
Delbrucker 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vreden Delbrucker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vreden or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vreden attacking → ← attacking Delbrucker

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vreden scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Delbrucker let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vreden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Delbrucker lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 25
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gutersloh34233867:3872
2Preussen Munster 2341811582:4665
3Paderborn II341810653:2364
4Lotte341861064:4360
5TUS Bovinghausen341581173:5953
6Westfalia Rhynern3414101052:4852
7ASC 09 Dortmund341471351:5549
8Clarholz341391253:4848
9Finnentrop/Bamenohl341451566:5647
10Eintracht Rheine341371452:6046
11Vreden3411101359:6743
12Schermbeck 2020341091543:5639
13Gievenbeck34991648:5036
14Siegen34981750:5435
15Sprockhovel348111548:6935
16TUS Ennepetal34981732:5935
17Erndtebruck34971847:8534
18Delbrucker34881847:7132