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Vreden vs Erkenschwick - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vreden host Erkenschwick in the Oberliga Westfalen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Erkenschwick have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Vreden have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor Erkenschwick slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.94 - 2.06) back Vreden to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vreden
20%
Draws
40%
Erkenschwick
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vreden lately — more wins on the board than Erkenschwick.
  • Win probability leans Vreden's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vreden Clean Sheet 10%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vreden Erkenschwick
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.81 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Vreden
2:0
May 25, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs Vreden
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Vreden vs Erkenschwick
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vreden 34 / 100
Erkenschwick 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vreden Erkenschwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vreden scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Erkenschwick let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Vreden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vreden VS Erkenschwick
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vreden

(Home)
04 Oct
TuS Hordel
1 : 4
Vreden
27 Sept
Vreden
2 : 0
Lippstadt
20 Sept
Schermbeck 2020
1 : 3
Vreden
13 Sept
Vreden
1 : 6
Eintracht Rheine
04 Sept
Sprockhovel
4 : 4
Vreden
Page 1 of 6

Erkenschwick

(Away)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Vreden 10 7 1 2 27:20 22
3 Eintracht Rheine 10 6 1 3 22:15 19
4 Maaslingen 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
5 Erkenschwick 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Sprockhovel 10 5 2 3 26:17 17
7 Lippstadt 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Arminia Bielefeld II 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
9 Westfalia Kinderhaus 10 4 3 3 13:14 15
10 Verl II 10 4 2 4 20:18 14
11 ASC 09 Dortmund 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
12 Preussen Munster 2 10 3 3 4 16:15 12
13 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 10 4 0 6 18:23 12
14 TuS Hordel 10 2 4 4 14:18 10
15 Hiltrup 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
16 Clarholz 10 2 2 6 21:23 8
17 TUS Ennepetal 10 0 5 5 11:25 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 9 0 2 7 9:24 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)