Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrhnika vs Ljubljana Svoboda

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vrhnika in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrhnika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vrhnika
6%
Draws
4%
Ljubljana Svoboda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vrhnika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vrhnika lately — more wins on the board than Ljubljana Svoboda.
  • Vrhnika are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vrhnika have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 20%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrhnika Ljubljana Svoboda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 3.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Ljubljana Svoboda
5:1
Oct 18, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Vrhnika
0:7
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Ljubljana Svoboda
0:3
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Vrhnika
0:2
May 17, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Ljubljana Svoboda
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrhnika 85 / 100
Ljubljana Svoboda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrhnika Ljubljana Svoboda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VRH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrhnika scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Ljubljana Svoboda has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vrhnika stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vrhnika VS Ljubljana Svoboda
3.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119