Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vrhnika vs Sencur

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Vrhnika Logo

Vrhnika

2 - 3
FT
Sencur Logo

Sencur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sencur in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vrhnika
35%
Draws
24%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vrhnika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur haven't matched Vrhnika's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Vrhnika taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 16%
Sencur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vrhnika Sencur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.16 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sencur
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Vrhnika
3:1
May 20, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Vrhnika
1:3
Nov 27, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sencur
3:1
May 4, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Sencur
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vrhnika 48 / 100
Sencur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vrhnika Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrhnika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrhnika's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sencur has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Vrhnika has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vrhnika VS Sencur
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vrhnika

(Home)
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
15 Aug
NK Brezice
1 : 2
Vrhnika
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Sencur

(Away)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
14 Aug
Sencur
3 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)