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Várzea Grande EC vs Acao

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Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Várzea Grande EC and Acao finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Várzea Grande EC
20%
Draws
38%
Acao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Acao's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Várzea Grande EC have produced (1.21).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 14%
Acao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Acao
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Acao
0:3
May 13, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Acao vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 35 / 100
Acao 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Acao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Várzea Grande EC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Várzea Grande EC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Acao
0.38 Goals Scored 1.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
Page 1 of 6

Acao

(Away)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)