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Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC

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Matogrossense 2 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC host Sinop FC in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sinop FC have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Várzea Grande EC have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.38. Head-to-head, Várzea Grande EC have won 0 to Sinop FC's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Sinop FC. Sinop FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Várzea Grande EC
22%
Draws
60%
Sinop FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sinop FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Várzea Grande EC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sinop FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in Matogrossense 2 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 17%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Sinop FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:4
Feb 8, 2019 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:2
Apr 24, 2016 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Várzea Grande EC
2:1
Mar 27, 2016 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Sinop FC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 20 / 100
Sinop FC 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Sinop FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sinop FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Várzea Grande EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sinop FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Sinop FC
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC0
Caceres1
Sinop FC6
Várzea Grande EC2
Acao1
Sport Sinop2
Pocone3
Gremio Sorriso1
Semi-finals
Caceres3
Sinop FC0
Sport Sinop4
Pocone3
Final
Caceres3
Sport Sinop2