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Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis

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Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Várzea Grande EC and Uniao Rondonopolis finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Várzea Grande EC
28%
Draws
22%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC haven't matched Uniao Rondonopolis's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Várzea Grande EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC Uniao Rondonopolis
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:0
Feb 18, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Várzea Grande EC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC 59 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC Uniao Rondonopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VÁR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Várzea Grande EC scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Uniao Rondonopolis let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Várzea Grande EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC VS Uniao Rondonopolis
0.8 Goals Scored 0.63
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC

(Home)
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
01 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
28 Jan
Primavera AC
2 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
25 Jan
Mixto
0 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
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Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luverdense95227:317
2Mixto943213:415
3Operario VG94239:914
4Sport Sinop93426:413
5Cuiaba93338:812
6Nova Mutum EC933313:1512
7Chapada932412:1311
8Uniao Rondonopolis92437:710
9Primavera AC91716:910
10Várzea Grande EC91265:145
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)