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Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W

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Matogrossense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC W in this Matogrossense Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Várzea Grande EC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Várzea Grande EC W
33%
Draws
27%
Acao W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Várzea Grande EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC W haven't matched Acao W's recent run of results.
  • Várzea Grande EC W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 16%
Acao W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC W Acao W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:2
Sep 6, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Acao W
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Várzea Grande EC W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC W 39 / 100
Acao W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC W Acao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VÁR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Acao W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Várzea Grande EC W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC W VS Acao W
1.86 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mixto W3
Acao W3
Atletico MT W4
Várzea Grande EC W5
Final
Acao W0
Várzea Grande EC W1