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Várzea Grande EC W vs Atletico MT W

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Matogrossense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC W play Atletico MT W in the Matogrossense Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Várzea Grande EC W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Atletico MT W averaged 0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded. In past meetings, Várzea Grande EC W won 1, Atletico MT W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 25, 2024 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Várzea Grande EC W and 0.94 for Atletico MT W. This points to a Várzea Grande EC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Várzea Grande EC W
28%
Draws
50%
Atletico MT W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Atletico MT W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Várzea Grande EC W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico MT W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Atletico MT W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Matogrossense Women 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico MT W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC W Atletico MT W
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Várzea Grande EC W vs Atletico MT W
4:3
Aug 16, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Atletico MT W vs Várzea Grande EC W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC W 24 / 100
Atletico MT W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC W Atletico MT W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Atletico MT W let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Várzea Grande EC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico MT W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC W VS Atletico MT W
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mixto W3
Acao W3
Atletico MT W4
Várzea Grande EC W5
Final
Acao W0
Várzea Grande EC W1