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Várzea Grande EC W vs Paulistano FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Women
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Várzea Grande EC W host Paulistano FC W in the Matogrossense Women. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Várzea Grande EC W have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Paulistano FC W's 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 1.05) point toward Paulistano FC W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Várzea Grande EC W
25%
Draws
35%
Paulistano FC W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Várzea Grande EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Várzea Grande EC W lately — more wins on the board than Paulistano FC W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Várzea Grande EC W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 20%
Paulistano FC W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Várzea Grande EC W Paulistano FC W
Matches Played 28 2
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 1.64 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Várzea Grande EC W 36 / 100
Paulistano FC W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Várzea Grande EC W Paulistano FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Várzea Grande EC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Paulistano FC W conceded in 50% of 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Várzea Grande EC W VS Paulistano FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 20%
75% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Várzea Grande EC W

(Home)
07 Oct
Acao W
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC W
03 Oct
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
02 May
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 1
Planalto EC W
29 Apr
Sampaio Correa W
2 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
25 Apr
Pantanal W
1 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
Page 1 of 6

Paulistano FC W

(Away)
08 Oct
Paulistano FC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
26 Sept
Sorriso EC W
1 : 2
Paulistano FC W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Várzea Grande EC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Paulistano FC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Acao W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Mixto W 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
5 Sorriso EC W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Matogrossense Women (Play Offs)