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VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Feb 17, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Aarhus host Marienlyst in the Club Friendly 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. VSK Aarhus have averaged 1.27 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Marienlyst's 1.68 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Marienlyst slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 3.00) back Marienlyst to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
VSK Aarhus
15%
Draws
18%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives VSK Aarhus a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Marienlyst
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 83 / 100
Marienlyst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VSK Aarhus has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marienlyst let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Marienlyst registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: VSK Aarhus scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS Marienlyst
1.13 Goals Scored 5
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
15 Aug
VSK Aarhus
3 : 1
Thisted FC
08 Aug
VSK Aarhus
3 : 0
Fremad Amager
04 Aug
Tst Fodbold
1 : 6
VSK Aarhus
01 Aug
Hellerup
0 : 2
VSK Aarhus
25 Jul
Skive
0 : 1
VSK Aarhus
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Marienlyst

(Away)
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
27 Jul
Naesby
6 : 2
Marienlyst
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