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VSK Aarhus vs Middelfart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Aarhus host Middelfart in the 2nd Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Middelfart have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while VSK Aarhus have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Middelfart slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring VSK Aarhus. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
VSK Aarhus
35%
Draws
46%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • VSK Aarhus have won more games recently than Middelfart.
  • Middelfart are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 12%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Middelfart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 2nd Division
Middelfart vs VSK Aarhus
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs VSK Aarhus
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Middelfart
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs VSK Aarhus
2:1
May 27, 2023 3rd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Middelfart
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 27 / 100
Middelfart 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VSK Aarhus scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Middelfart let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: VSK Aarhus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS Middelfart
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
30 Oct
Skive
4 : 1
VSK Aarhus
24 Oct
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Naestved IF
18 Oct
Thisted FC
2 : 2
VSK Aarhus
11 Oct
Nykobing
3 : 1
VSK Aarhus
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Brabrand
Page 1 of 6

Middelfart

(Away)
31 Oct
Fremad Amager
2 : 1
Middelfart
24 Oct
Middelfart
3 : 3
Skive
17 Oct
Middelfart
3 : 3
Roskilde
10 Oct
Boldklubben 1893
3 : 1
Middelfart
03 Oct
Middelfart
1 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 14 9 4 1 37:16 31
2 Roskilde 14 6 8 0 28:13 26
3 Boldklubben 1893 14 6 3 5 25:20 21
4 Skive 14 6 3 5 22:19 21
5 Naestved IF 14 4 9 1 19:16 21
6 VSK Aarhus 14 5 5 4 20:18 20
7 Fremad Amager 14 5 5 4 18:23 20
8 Middelfart 14 4 7 3 26:21 19
9 Brabrand 14 4 3 7 17:23 15
10 Hellerup 14 4 3 7 13:23 15
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 14 2 3 9 13:28 9
12 Thisted FC 14 1 3 10 12:30 6
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)