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VSK Aarhus vs Skive

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Callo G.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division 2025/2026 game between VSK Aarhus and Skive finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
VSK Aarhus
33%
Draws
27%
Skive
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Skive come out ahead of VSK Aarhus on wins alone.
  • Model gives VSK Aarhus a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%
Skive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus Skive
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 13
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Skive vs VSK Aarhus
0:1
May 13, 2026 2nd Division
Skive vs VSK Aarhus
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Skive
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Skive
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 2nd Division
Skive vs VSK Aarhus
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VSK Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Skive Compare

Top Goalscorer Callo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus 50 / 100
Skive 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus Skive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skive conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

VSK Aarhus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

VSK Aarhus scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

VSK Aarhus VS Skive
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Aarhus

(Home)
25 Jul
Skive
0 : 1
VSK Aarhus
21 Jul
Brabrand
0 : 0
VSK Aarhus
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
06 Jun
VSK Aarhus
3 : 2
Helsingor
30 May
Ishoj IF
0 : 1
VSK Aarhus
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Skive

(Away)
25 Jul
Skive
0 : 1
VSK Aarhus
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Naesby
4 : 2
Skive
06 Jun
Skive
1 : 1
Ishoj IF
29 May
Fremad Amager
0 : 1
Skive
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Fremad Amager321561136:3545
8VSK Aarhus32914939:4241
9Skive326161034:3934
10Brabrand32891538:4833
11Ishoj IF325111638:5626
12Helsingor32581934:6123
Relegation - 3rd Division (Main)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Main)