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VSK Aarhus W vs Naesby W

Denmark Denmark

3F Ligaen Women 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Aarhus W play Naesby W in the 3F Ligaen Women 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, VSK Aarhus W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Naesby W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, VSK Aarhus W won 1, Naesby W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for VSK Aarhus W and 1.13 for Naesby W. This points to a Naesby W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
VSK Aarhus W
22%
Draws
43%
Naesby W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Naesby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • VSK Aarhus W picked up more points recently compared to Naesby W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
VSK Aarhus W Clean Sheet 21%
Naesby W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Aarhus W Naesby W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Danish Cup Women
Naesby W vs VSK Aarhus W
1:2
Jun 3, 2017 A-Liga Women
Naesby W vs VSK Aarhus W
3:1
Apr 23, 2017 A-Liga Women
VSK Aarhus W vs Naesby W
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Aarhus W 36 / 100
Naesby W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Aarhus W Naesby W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naesby W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VSK Aarhus W attacking → ← attacking Naesby W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VSK Aarhus W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Naesby W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

VSK Aarhus W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Naesby W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 53
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Odense W1071232:922
2Esbjerg W1071225:1022
3Naesby W1061322:1719
4Sundby W1033415:1812
5VSK Aarhus W1031618:2310
6Sonderjyske W100199:441