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VSK Gyergyo vs Ceahlaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VSK Gyergyo host Ceahlaul in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. VSK Gyergyo are expected to control this from the start. VSK Gyergyo have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Ceahlaul's 0.87 scored and 2.23 conceded. Head-to-head, VSK Gyergyo have won 1 to Ceahlaul's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 0.81) point toward VSK Gyergyo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
VSK Gyergyo
30%
Draws
16%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VSK Gyergyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VSK Gyergyo come out ahead of Ceahlaul on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on VSK Gyergyo taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
VSK Gyergyo Clean Sheet 20%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VSK Gyergyo Ceahlaul
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.36 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Romanian Cup
VSK Gyergyo vs Ceahlaul
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VSK Gyergyo 40 / 100
Ceahlaul 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VSK Gyergyo Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Gyergyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceahlaul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

VSK Gyergyo's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: VSK Gyergyo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VSK Gyergyo VS Ceahlaul
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VSK Gyergyo

(Home)
03 Oct
VSK Gyergyo
1 : 1
FC Bacau 2
26 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
2 : 0
VSK Gyergyo
23 Sept
VSK Gyergyo
2 : 0
Viitorul Onesti
19 Sept
Targu Secuiesc
4 : 2
VSK Gyergyo
12 Sept
VSK Gyergyo
4 : 2
CSM Pascani
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul

(Away)
03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1
Ceahlaul
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 8 7 1 0 21:9 22
2 ACS USV Iasi 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
3 Adjud 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Aerostar 7 4 0 3 13:8 12
5 Targu Secuiesc 7 3 2 2 16:13 11
6 FC Bacau 2 8 3 2 3 11:17 11
7 Bradul Putna 7 3 1 3 18:13 10
8 Odorheiu 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 VSK Gyergyo 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
10 Viitorul Onesti 7 1 1 5 10:12 4
11 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 2:16 2
12 CSM Pascani 7 0 1 6 7:22 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)