Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Hoogeveen and HSC '21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Hoogeveen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV Hoogeveen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV Hoogeveen come out ahead of HSC '21 on wins alone.
- VV Hoogeveen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors VV Hoogeveen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 68%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Hoogeveen | HSC '21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 3.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.33 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs HSC '21
3:1
Aug 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs VV Hoogeveen
2:4
Feb 4, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs HSC '21
4:1
Sep 10, 2023 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs VV Hoogeveen
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Hoogeveen 95 / 100
HSC '21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Hoogeveen HSC '21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Hoogeveen found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: HSC '21 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.
VV Hoogeveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VV Hoogeveen VS HSC '21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.29
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Hoogeveen
(Home) 02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
22 Aug
VV Scherpenzeel
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
15 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
4 : 3 SVZW Wierden
23 May
VV Hoogeveen
2 : 1 Genemuiden
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02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
15 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
4 : 3 SVZW Wierden
23 May
VV Hoogeveen
2 : 1 Genemuiden
09 May
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 0 Eemdijk
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HSC '21
(Away) 23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
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23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
29 Mar
Rohda Raalte
3 : 2 HSC '21
14 Mar
Sportlust
5 : 1 HSC '21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
