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VV Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between VV Hoogeveen and Purmersteijn finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Purmersteijn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
VV Hoogeveen
15%
Draws
45%
Purmersteijn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Purmersteijn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VV Hoogeveen come out ahead of Purmersteijn on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 11%
Purmersteijn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Hoogeveen Purmersteijn
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.89 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Purmersteijn
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Hoogeveen 29 / 100
Purmersteijn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Hoogeveen Purmersteijn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Hoogeveen scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Purmersteijn conceded in 93% of 15 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: VV Hoogeveen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Hoogeveen VS Purmersteijn
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Hoogeveen

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6

Purmersteijn

(Away)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)