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VV Noordwijk vs Gemert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Noordwijk host Gemert in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. VV Noordwijk have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Gemert's 1.97 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, VV Noordwijk have won 1 to Gemert's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.49, favoring VV Noordwijk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
VV Noordwijk
15%
Draws
39%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gemert haven't matched VV Noordwijk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 16%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk Gemert
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Gemert
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs VV Noordwijk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 57 / 100
Gemert 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Noordwijk scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Gemert has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: VV Noordwijk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS Gemert
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
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Gemert

(Away)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)