Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VV Noordwijk vs Roosendaal

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Noordwijk in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Noordwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
VV Noordwijk
15%
Draws
17%
Roosendaal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Roosendaal haven't matched VV Noordwijk's recent run of results.
  • VV Noordwijk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and VV Noordwijk have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 20%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk Roosendaal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Roosendaal
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs Roosendaal
4:3
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs VV Noordwijk
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 85 / 100
Roosendaal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk Roosendaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VV Noordwijk scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Roosendaal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VV Noordwijk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS Roosendaal
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
Page 1 of 6

Roosendaal

(Away)
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3
Roosendaal
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)