Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Duinwetering

Roosendaal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

VV Noordwijk play Roosendaal in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, VV Noordwijk averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Roosendaal averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, VV Noordwijk won 1, Roosendaal won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for VV Noordwijk and 1.75 for Roosendaal. This points to a Roosendaal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

VV Noordwijk

27%

Draws

37%

Roosendaal

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Roosendaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

VV Noordwijk picked up more points recently compared to Roosendaal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%

VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 12%

Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	VV Noordwijk	Roosendaal
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.7	2.07
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie

VV Noordwijk vs Roosendaal

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

4:3

Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie

Roosendaal vs VV Noordwijk

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 35 / 100

Roosendaal 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

VV Noordwijk Roosendaal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Roosendaal or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VV Noordwijk attacking → ← attacking Roosendaal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Noordwijk scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Roosendaal let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

VV Noordwijk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Roosendaal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 48

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25