Sport Picks
VV Noordwijk vs TOGB
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk 
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TOGB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- TOGB have won more games recently than VV Noordwijk.
- Model gives VV Noordwijk a 29% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors VV Noordwijk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 12%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Noordwijk | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs TOGB
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VV Noordwijk
0:1
Sep 4, 2024 KNVB Beker
TOGB vs VV Noordwijk
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Noordwijk 38 / 100
TOGB 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Noordwijk TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VV Noordwijk scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
TOGB let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
VV Noordwijk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VV Noordwijk VS TOGB
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Noordwijk
(Home) 15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0 Blauw Geel
08 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 3 De Treffers
04 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 1 Rijnsburgse Boys
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
16 May
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0 Blauw Geel
08 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 3 De Treffers
04 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 1 Rijnsburgse Boys
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
09 May
VV Noordwijk
3 : 1 SteDoCo
Page 1 of 4
TOGB
(Away) 16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
23 May
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 TOGB
09 May
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 TOGB
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
