Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VV Noordwijk vs VVSB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VVSB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
VV Noordwijk
15%
Draws
32%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • VVSB have won more games recently than VV Noordwijk.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • VVSB have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 20%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk VVSB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs VVSB
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs VVSB
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs VV Noordwijk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 85 / 100
VVSB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Noordwijk scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

VVSB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

VV Noordwijk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS VVSB
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2
VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
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VVSB

(Away)
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)