Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between VV Zwaluwen and Achilles Veen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Zwaluwen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- VV Zwaluwen carry the better recent record into this one.
- VV Zwaluwen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 19%
Achilles Veen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Zwaluwen | Achilles Veen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs Achilles Veen
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Zwaluwen 85 / 100
Achilles Veen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Zwaluwen Achilles Veen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Zwaluwen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Achilles Veen registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
VV Zwaluwen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Achilles Veen conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.
Recent resilience: VV Zwaluwen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VV Zwaluwen VS Achilles Veen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Zwaluwen
(Home) 26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 VV Zwaluwen
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
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23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1 Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 RKSV UDI 19
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1 UNA
23 May
VV Zwaluwen
3 : 0 Blauw Geel
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Achilles Veen
(Away) 26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0 Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1 Achilles Veen
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
05 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 0 Achilles Veen
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22 Sept
VV Kloetinge
8 : 0 Achilles Veen
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1 Achilles Veen
05 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 0 Achilles Veen
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
05 Aug
Kozakken Boys
2 : 3 Achilles Veen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 16 |
| 5 | VV Scherpenzeel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 7 | TEC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Lisse | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 5 | GOES | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Gemert | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dongen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | VV Zwaluwen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 13 | UNA | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 14 | VVSB | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | TOGB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
