Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VV Zwaluwen vs Gemert

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Zwaluwen and Gemert finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Zwaluwen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VV Zwaluwen
20%
Draws
44%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • VV Zwaluwen have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — Gemert are scoring more at 2.1.
  • Gemert are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 16%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Zwaluwen Gemert
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Zwaluwen vs Gemert
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs VV Zwaluwen
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Zwaluwen 23 / 100
Gemert 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Zwaluwen Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: VV Zwaluwen scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Gemert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: VV Zwaluwen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VV Zwaluwen VS Gemert
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Zwaluwen

(Home)
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7
VV Zwaluwen
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Gemert

(Away)
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)