Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVOG vs ASWH

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zwart M.
28' Event
Versluis R.
62' Event
Kurt Y.

AI Match Summary

VVOG in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVOG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
VVOG
15%
Draws
21%
ASWH
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VVOG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • VVOG have won more games recently than ASWH.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on VVOG taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
VVOG Clean Sheet 19%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVOG ASWH
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs ASWH
2:1
Nov 12, 2022 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VVOG
0:3
May 18, 2019 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs ASWH
0:4
Sep 22, 2018 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VVOG
2:0
Jan 27, 2018 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs VVOG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwart M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurt Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

ASWH Compare

Top Goalscorer Versluis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVOG 76 / 100
ASWH 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVOG ASWH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASWH conceded in 94% of 36 recent games.

VVOG scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

ASWH's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASWH
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

VVOG

(Home)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
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ASWH

(Away)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)