Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVOG vs GVVV

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
1 - 5
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Burgering B.
16' Event
Berrio J.
27' Event
Mbinga E.

AI Match Summary

GVVV in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored GVVV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
VVOG
15%
Draws
42%
GVVV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VVOG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GVVV lately — more wins on the board than VVOG.
  • Win probability leans VVOG's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors GVVV here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
VVOG Clean Sheet 20%
GVVV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVOG GVVV
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs GVVV
1:5
Sep 17, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVVV vs VVOG
3:1
Sep 21, 2021 KNVB Beker
GVVV vs VVOG
3:1
Aug 11, 2020 Club Friendly
GVVV vs VVOG
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbinga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

GVVV Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgering B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Berrio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVOG 36 / 100
GVVV 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVOG GVVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

VVOG found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

GVVV let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: GVVV has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS GVVV
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VVOG

(Home)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
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GVVV

(Away)
05 Sept
GVVV
0 : 3
Quick Boys
29 Aug
Kozakken Boys
3 : 2
GVVV
22 Aug
GVVV
2 : 3
AFC
15 Aug
De Treffers
5 : 1
GVVV
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)