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VVSB vs Blauw Geel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VVSB host Blauw Geel in the Derde Divisie. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Blauw Geel have shipped 1.65 goals a game lately, while VVSB have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor Blauw Geel slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back VVSB to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
VVSB
20%
Draws
46%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Blauw Geel haven't matched VVSB's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Blauw Geel's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
VVSB Clean Sheet 18%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVSB Blauw Geel
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.81 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs VVSB
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs VVSB
4:0
Aug 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:5
Apr 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Blauw Geel
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVSB 23 / 100
Blauw Geel 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVSB Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VVSB scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Blauw Geel has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

VVSB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VVSB VS Blauw Geel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VVSB

(Home)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
Page 1 of 7

Blauw Geel

(Away)
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1
UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)