Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Mandemakers Stadion

Dordrecht

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Waalwijk host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dordrecht have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Waalwijk have conceded 1.38 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Dordrecht slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Waalwijk. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Waalwijk

22%

Draws

18%

Dordrecht

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Waalwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Waalwijk lately — more wins on the board than Dordrecht.
Waalwijk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Waalwijk Clean Sheet 18%

Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Waalwijk	Dordrecht
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	11	7
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs Dordrecht

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs Waalwijk

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Apr 19, 2019 Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs Dordrecht

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

4:4

Nov 30, 2018 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs Waalwijk

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Mar 12, 2018 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs Waalwijk

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waalwijk 58 / 100

Dordrecht 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Waalwijk Dordrecht

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waalwijk scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Dordrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waalwijk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waalwijk VS Dordrecht

2 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	De Graafschap	0:0
2	Venlo	0:0
3	Den Bosch	0:0
4	Dordrecht	0:0
5	Eindhoven FC	0:0
6	FC Emmen	0:0
7	Helmond Sport	0:0
8	Maastricht	0:0
9	Almere City	0:0
10	TOP Oss	0:0
11	FC Volendam	0:0
12	Waalwijk	0:0
13	NAC Breda	0:0
14	Roda	0:0
15	Vitesse	0:0
16	Heracles	0:0
17	Jong PSV	0:0
18	Jong Ajax	0:0
19	Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0